Pallekele, Sri Lanka – The final Super Eight game for these sides sees both teams with a chance of progressing to the semi-finals although in the case of New Zealand, that chance is immensely slim. Ross Taylor’s men will have to win by a huge margin and increase their net run rate, while hoping that the result in the Sri Lanka v England game goes their way.
For the West Indies, victory here should be enough to progress but Darren Sammy’s side will be looking nervously towards the last game in this group. Whatever happens, both of these teams need to go for the win and that should set up an exciting contest.
Currently, the West Indies are the clear favourites for the win here at best odds of 4/6 (bet £6.00 to make £4.00 profit) with either Paddy Power or Boylesports. If you think that the Kiwis can win and keep their World Cup hopes alive then the best price for this outcome is 11/8 with Skybet.
The sides do seem evenly matched so the value in the result market here must surely rest with New Zealand.
Both teams were disappointing in their defeats last time out: After losing Chris Gayle for just two, the West Indies could only manage 129-5 against the Sri Lankans on Saturday and that total was never likely to trouble the hosts.
Sammy’s men may be guilty of relying too heavily on Gayle for their runs, although there were useful contributions from Marlon Samuels and Dwayne Bravo, who made 50 and 40 respectively. Gayle remains the favourite to top score for his side at best price of 7/4 with Bet365 while Samuels is available at best odds of 7/2 with Bet365 and Bravo at a best price of 5/1 with Bet365.
Any of these players could be good options but a value bet could lie with Kieron Pollard at best odds of 9/1 with Bet365 or even Andre Russell, a bowler who is improving with the bat and is available at an excellent best price of 20/1 – also with Bet365.
As for New Zealand, they also seemed to rely on the runs supplied by one man but after Brendon McCullum started to fail with the bat, other players such as Taylor, Rob Nicol and James Franklin have taken responsibility.
Brendon McCullum is the clear favourite to head his side’s run charts in this game at best odds of 10/3 with Skybet while Taylor will be a popular option in this market at a tempting best price of 9/2 with Ladbrokes.
All-rounder Franklin, who top scored against England last time out, is on offer at best odds of 7/1 with Bet365 or Paddy Power and although these have shortened from the 10/1 available prior to the last match, this is still a value bet within the New Zealand line-up.
In the man of the match market, only one bookmaker has published their odds so far and it’s no surprise to see Chris Gayle installed as the clear favourite at a best price of 9/2 with Bet365. There isn’t a great deal of value with that price in a market with so many other possible outcomes so you may want to consider Brendon McCullum at best odds of 8/1 with Bet365 or Sunil Narine at that same best price of 8/1 with Bet365.
Further down the list sees Dwayne Bravo, who is due to play a major role with bat and ball and the all-rounder is on offer at excellent best odds of 14/1 – also with Bet365.
Finally, Bet365 are offering best odds of 7/1 on any player to score a century in this game. With Gayle and McCullum in the line-ups, together with a whole host of power hitters, this looks to be a good value option, even on an outcome which is a rare occurrence in T20.
With both teams needing the win, this could develop into one of the games of the World Cup and if you’re having a bet, there’s value in the result and side markets on the eve of the match.