Premier League Picks - 9 September 2011

Rob Alexander picks out value bets from this week's Premier League matches

The Premier League season is well underway and the two Manchester sides look like they are going to battle it out for the title as they build up a head of steam, scoring goals for fun against their rivals. They are the only two sides with a 100 per cent record going into this match week.

Chelsea have also started pretty well under Andre Villas-Boas with seven points from three matches and are joined in the top four by Kenny Dalglish's Liverpool. With Arsenal and Tottenham's poor start to the season, betting against the current top four being in the same at the end may be unwise.

Arsenal have bolstered their squad since the infamous 8-2 defeat at Old Trafford and with players like Mikel Arteta, Per Mertersacker and Yossi Benayoun now in the ranks they look a much better squad than just a few weeks ago, so it will be interesting to see how they fare at home to new boys Swansea City this weekend.

Perhaps the most intriguing tie sees Newcastle United travel to London on Monday to play Joey Barton's new team Queens Park Rangers. Not only did Rangers invest in Barton they also brought in a lot of players with Premier League experience and a point to prove including Shaun Wright-Phillips, Anton Ferdinand and Luke Young.

Weekend Picks

Bolton Wanderers v Manchester United

The form of Sir Alex Ferguson's new look Manchester United side has been irresistible early on this season and they look more than capable of challenging to retain their Premier League title.

Bolton have had a really tough start to the season but have shown they are a very capable side under Owen Coyle with a 4-0 hammering of QPR on the opening day of the season and their fighting spirit in the 3-2 home defeat to Manchester City was testament to their strength when many other teams would have capitulated to City's fantastic attacking display.

Holding onto Gary Cahill is also fantastic news for Bolton Wanderers, who will need him at his best once again as Rooney and co come to the Reebok Stadium.

I fancy Manchester United to have too much in every department for Bolton and win the match to continue their excellent record against Bolton, winning 11 of the last 13 matches.

It is hard to say whether United will break a big handicap or if Bolton will make it a close result, but I feel the Red Devils are more than capable of getting an even better result than their city rivals did and will be determined to do so.

For that reason I recommend betting 2 points on Manchester United -1.5 at 2.27 with Victor Chandler.

Fulham v Blackburn Rovers

Fulham take on Blackburn Rovers in a match between two sides who are yet to get their season underway. The home side have been far from impressive under Martin Jol, picking up just one point from their three matches, while Blackburn are fairing even worse having failed to pick up any points so far.

Both teams bolstered their squads before the transfer window with Fulham bringing in Bryan Ruiz from FC Twente for a massive fee of £10.6m as well as Zdenek Grygera for free.

Blackburn pride themselves on a solid defence and the addition of Scott Dann from Birmingham should help Rovers stop leaking goals. The signing of Yakubu from Everton could be very shrewd as he is a proven Premier League goalscorer.

Fulham and Blackburn are both struggling to find the net so far this season but I fancy Yakubu to slot into the Blackburn side much more quickly than Ruiz, who might take some time to settle in the Premier League.

Despite Fulham being heavy favourites for the match, I favour backing Blackburn in this match with a small headstart.

Bet 3 points on Blackburn +0.75 at 2.07 with bet365.

 

 

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Forum Comments

robalexander says:

Comment posted at: 2011-09-09 13:30:00


GeorgeO says:

Swansea +1 1/4 against Arsenal has to be value. I know they haven't scored this season but Arsenal's defence without Vermaelan is so terrible that I would unsurprised if they gifted Swansea a whole hat full of gift wrapped chances to help get the Swans off the mark.

To be honest, there's some 10/1 knocking around for a Swansea win. They're longer odds than whats available on the exchanges and the reward will be far greater when the Swans stuff the terrible Gooners this weekend.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-09 15:36:31


robalexander says:

Wait till you see Per Mertersacker, George. He's absolutely class and he and Koscielny should have enough to handle the Swansea attack. I like your reasoning and confidence but cant choose the Swans this time!

Comment posted at: 2011-09-09 15:52:23


GeorgeO says:

Just had a nice degenerate punt on the weekends football...

Villa 3/1
Liverpool 5/4
Blackburn 5/1
Newcastle 21/10
Spurs 7/5

All top price with Victor Chandler (apart from spurs who you can get for 6/4)

Had £2 fivefold, fourfolds and trebles...

And of course as a loyal gooner I had a little something on the Swans trashing us on Sunday...

Comment posted at: 2011-09-09 16:23:41


Ed The Head says:

United have a very good record at Bolton but a goal and a half is a big head-start away from home. I'll take the Wanderers at that price.

Blackburn...hmmm...they're truly awful and perhaps 3/4 ball is too much given Fulham aren't anything special. They are generally competent at home, however, so if I had to pick for this tie I'd go with the hosts.

That'll be Ed the Head vs Rob Alexander then :p

For me the pick of the round is taking Villa with 1/2 goal start at Everton. The Toffees are always horrible at the start of the season and Villa with McLeish aren't going to concede many. George's suggested 3/1 for the away win is also worth a shout in my opinion as Villa are much stronger up front and can punish Everton whereas the home side have virtually no strikers these days.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-09 17:11:51


Angry Frank says:

If you're going to back United giving up a large start may be the way to do it. They conceded a lot of away draws last season.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-10 15:58:09


robalexander says:

QUOTE=Ed The Head;13921
That'll be Ed the Head vs Rob Alexander then :p


1-0 lol. I agree with Angry Frank that if United are going to win away from home they'll tend to win big, especially against lesser sides.

I'm still not convinced Blackburn are awful. Don't know why but I think they have a pretty decent squad with some exciting young players (Hoilet, Goodwillie and Vukcevic in particular). Maybe the start is a bit much, +0.5 may have been better. Its pretty much guaranteed to be a bore draw (0-0 or 1-1 imho).

Comment posted at: 2011-09-10 23:41:23


Ed The Head says:

The King is dead...long live the King! :D

An easy 2-0 win. I'll console myself that Villa with 1/2 goal was my preferred pick, which came in.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-11 18:36:07


London Joe says:

QUOTE=GeorgeO;13919Just had a nice degenerate punt on the weekends football...

Villa 3/1
Liverpool 5/4
Blackburn 5/1
Newcastle 21/10
Spurs 7/5

All top price with Victor Chandler (apart from spurs who you can get for 6/4)

Had £2 fivefold, fourfolds and trebles...

And of course as a loyal gooner I had a little something on the Swans trashing us on Sunday...

That's properly degen.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-11 21:49:57


Angry Frank says:

Top tipping Rob.

Comment posted at: 2011-09-12 20:58:17


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