Wednesday: Man United v. Roma Selection

Manchester Utd v Roma

Champions League
Wednesday, 7.45pm (UK time)

It’s very difficult to see how Roma can come back from their dismal showing in the first leg where they lost 2-0 to United at the Stadio Olimpico. Even at a price of 14/1 for Roma to go through to the Semi-Finals it is not an attractive betting proposition.

The Italians must score at least twice to take this one beyond 90 minutes – and they are facing one of the best home records in Europe. Manchester Utd have won their last 10 consecutive European home games, and victory on Wednesday would make a new Champions League record. Don’t bet against them doing it!

United are also unbeaten in their last nine Champions League games home and away and are yet to be defeated in this season’s competition. They are also very strong against Italian sides at Old Trafford – in 14 games fixtures they have won 10, drawn two and lost two.

So, if United are going to qualify for the Semis, but at unattractive odds, we’re is the betting value to be had? We believe it could come in the shape of a punt on over 2.5 goals. There are a couple of chinks developing in the United armour – the loss of Ferdinand and Vidic for this one is massive and the defence looked out of sorts in drawing 2-2 at Middlesbrough on Sunday.

This, plus the fact that Roma will have to play very attacking football to have a hope of qualifying means there are likely to be plenty of goals at Old Trafford on Wednesday night. In fact, 63% of the last 19 second legs in the Champions League Quarter-Finals have resulted in over 2.5 goals being scored so the trend is your friend with this bet.

Recommended Bet:

3pts on Over 2.5 Goals at 11/10 or better