TURIN, ITALY - Juventus are on the verge of retaining the Scudetto as they welcome AC Milan to town this evening. The bianconeri are 11 points clear of Napoli in second place and a further 15 points ahead of the rossoneri in third place.
The bookmakers have priced up Juventus at odds on for another victory in front of their own fans - they have won 12 out of 16 at home and conceded only nine goals in the process - Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and William Hill all offer an industry top price of 3/4. Meanwhile, AC Milan are chalked up at a best price of 17/4 with BetVictor to take home all three points and the draw is available at 14/5 with the same firm.
Antonio Conte had little trouble putting his Champions League disappointment to one side as they cruised to a 2-0 victory over Lazio last time out to edge closer to the title. Juventus have been far and away the most consistent team in Italy this season with a wonderfully crafted squad.
Despite scoring 63 goals in the league this season (joint high with Roma) they haven't seen a single striker hit double figures as they have all contributed to the cause. Pogba, Pirlo, Marchisio and Vidal have all chipped in with five goals a piece from midfield too, illustrating the difficulty in predicting a goal scorer for the home side.
With little pressure on Juventus heading into game and Mario Balotelli missing for the visitors through suspension I expect a low scoring affair and like the price of 39/40 with BetVictor on Under 2.5 goals. Even if there is an early goal for either side I wouldn't panic on there being a glut of goals - Juventus raced into a 2-0 lead inside 28 minutes against Lazio last weekend and controlled the game without scoring or conceding for the remainder of the match.
The previous four league meetings between the sides would have seen you collect on under 2.5 goals and four of the last five away games for Milan have also gone under 2.5 goals to further boost the selection.
Surprisingly AC Milan are the only undefeated team in Serie A this year with nine wins and five draws in 2013 and they will be keen to keep that run going when they travel to Turin. The correct score of 1-1 looks decent value with BetVictor who go a standout 15/2 - other firms are as short as 11/2 for the same outcome.
With the absence of Mario Balotelli the rossoneri will look towards their top goal scorer Stephan El Shaarawy to breach the Juventus defence. The 20 year-old Italian has been a revelation this term scoring 16 league goals and will be eager to prove a point after being benched for the 1-1 draw against Napoli last time out.
El Shaarawy scored in Milan's last visit to the Juventus stadium (a 2-1 extra time Coppa Italia defeat in January) and is priced up at 9/4 with 888Sport and bet365 to score anytime this evening and looks the pick of the goal scorer bets this evening.
It's just a matter of time before Juventus win the league; however, time is running out for Milan to cement their grip on third placed. They could be, by the time fixture is played, just one point ahead of Fiorentina who play Torino at home earlier in the day with just five league games remaining.
The game kicks off at 7:45 BST on Sunday 21st April 2013 and is live on ESPN.